Clearing Skies and Brisk Easterlies: Your Monday Weather Outlook

A Reprieve from the Rain

Residents of Toowoomba can expect a noticeable shift in conditions this Monday, 16 February 2026, as the heavy rainfall that dominated the weekend begins to subside. While the Garden City felt the brunt of significant moisture on Sunday, today marks the start of a drying trend. Although the morning may remain somewhat unsettled, the overall outlook is for improving conditions as the day progresses.

Morning Outlook and Winds

The day begins on a cool note with a minimum temperature of 15°C. Early risers will likely encounter a cloudy sky and the slight chance of a lingering shower, particularly in the first few hours after sunrise. The most significant feature of the morning weather will be the wind. Easterly winds are expected to be quite active, reaching speeds of 25 to 40 km/h. These brisk conditions are forecast to persist through the morning before beginning to ease by the afternoon.

Afternoon Transition and UV Safety

As we move into the afternoon, the cloud cover will transition to partly cloudy, allowing for longer periods of sunshine. The mercury is set to peak at a mild maximum of 24°C. While this temperature is pleasant for mid-February, it is important to note that the UV index remains a primary concern. Meteorological services have advised that sun protection is essential between 8:00 AM and 4:00 PM. With the UV index hitting extreme levels, residents are encouraged to wear protective clothing, use sunscreen, and seek shade during these peak hours.

Evening and Fire Safety Notes

The evening will see further clearing, with skies becoming mostly clear overnight as the temperature returns to a cool 15°C. The likelihood of rain drops significantly throughout the day, with a total accumulation of less than 1mm anticipated. Despite the recent wet weather, a Moderate Fire Danger rating has been issued for the Darling Downs and Granite Belt districts. This serves as a reminder to remain vigilant and ensure all fire safety protocols are followed as the landscape begins to dry out following the weekend deluge.

Forecast Summary

• Morning: Cloudy with a 30% chance of early showers. Easterly winds 25-40 km/h.
• Afternoon: Partly cloudy with a top of 24°C. Winds easing.
• Evening: Clear skies and light winds with a low of 15°C.
• Warnings: Moderate Fire Danger; Extreme UV Index protection required from 8:00 AM.